December 6, 2019
The Water, Peace, and Security (WPS) partnership has developed a groundbreaking Global Early Warning Tool using data from the Pacific Institute's Water Conflict Chronology to predict the risk of violent conflict up to 12 months before it occurs. The WPS Global Early Warning Tool compares patterns between violent conflict and 80 environmental, social, and economic variables across a timeline of 20 years to the present day to identify potential water-related conflict hotspots across Africa, the Middle East, and South and Southeast Asia.
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Early findings from the WPS Global Early Warning Tool indicate that many water-stressed regions including Mali, Nigeria, Basra, Iraq, and southwestern Iran are likely to experience violent conflict in the next 12 months as a result of water-related factors.
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